Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
GOJET · FLIGHT G7 4581
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
G7 4581 · IAH → TUL
departs 12:16 PM CT · arrives 2:08 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Tue 10/13 25%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 19%
Fri 10/16 23%
Sat 10/17 18%
Sun 10/18 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at TUL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TUL?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TUL that day
↑
12pm departures from IAH are often late
↑
IAH is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into TUL at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
TUL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.53 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.