Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

LATAM BRASIL · FLIGHT JJ 8190 LANDED 7:25 AM ET, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 12 Today

JJ 8190 · GRU → MIA

took off 12:36 AM -03 · landed 7:25 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 21h after departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GRU

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

GRU (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

JJ 8190 · GRU → MIA

Odds over time