Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

LATAM PERU · FLIGHT LP 2480 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 12 Today

LP 2480 · LIM → MIA

departs 5:42 AM -05 · arrives 11:57 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ MIA is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LIM

Weather at each end

LIM (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling3,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

LP 2480 · LIM → MIA

Odds over time