Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

LATAM PERU · FLIGHT LP 2694 LANDED 8:08 PM ET, ~14 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 12 Today

LP 2694 · LIM → MIA

took off 1:46 PM -05 · landed 8:08 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±1 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LIM

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LIM (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

LP 2694 · LIM → MIA

Odds over time