Schedule: FAA flight plans.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3346 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 11:27 PM ET (58 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Monday, October 12 Today

MQ 3346 · DCA → BOS

departs 10:20 PM ET · arrives 11:53 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

95% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
36%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ 10pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at DCA that day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.20 in

BOS (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.31 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3346 · DCA → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?