MQ 4060 · BGR → DCA

departs 1:14 PM ET · arrives 3:23 PM ET

Your aircraft is N207AN (E170), coming in as MQ 4060 from DCA: landed 12:23 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ BGR is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

BGR (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.05 in

DCA (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4060 · BGR → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?