MQ 4108 · BIM → MIA

took off 2:50 PM EDT · landed 3:19 PM ET (scheduled 1:41 PM EDT → 2:48 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MIA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BIM

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BIM (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4108 · BIM → MIA

Odds over time

How late did it get to MIA?