OH 5015 · LEX → CLT

took off 5:11 AM ET · expected to land 6:00 AM ET (scheduled 5:15 AM ET → 6:47 AM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CLT?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi forecast at LEX that day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from LEX are usually not late

Weather at each end

LEX (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.2 mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5015 · LEX → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?