Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5187 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 12 Today

OH 5187 · DCA → ATL

departs 5:48 AM ET · arrives 7:51 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at DCA that day

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from DCA are usually not late

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.38 in

ATL (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5187 · DCA → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?