Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5197 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 12 Tomorrow

OH 5197 · CLT → BNA

departs 11:33 AM ET · arrives 12:00 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 29h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↑ 11am departures from CLT are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5197 · CLT → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?