OH 5210 · DAY → DCA

departs 12:45 PM ET · arrives 2:27 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DCA that day

↓ DAY usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DAY (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.41 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5210 · DAY → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?