Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Monday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5246 SCHEDULED

Monday, October 12 Tomorrow

OH 5246 · LAN → DCA

departs 12:54 PM ET · arrives 3:00 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DCA that day

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Other factors

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAN (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.41 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5246 · LAN → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?