Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5252 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 12 Tomorrow

OH 5252 · IAH → DCA

departs 10:43 AM CT · arrives 2:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 27h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±1 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DCA that day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

DCA (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.41 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5252 · IAH → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?