OH 5389 · SBN → CLT

took off 11:49 AM ET · expected to land 1:02 PM ET (scheduled 11:43 AM ET → 1:40 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CLT?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↑ 11am departures from SBN are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

SBN (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility0.75 mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5389 · SBN → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?