OH 5637 · DCA → MKE

took off 5:17 PM ET · expected to land 5:49 PM CT (scheduled 3:29 PM ET → 4:36 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MKE?

LIVE

On time or early
0%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
97%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MKE

↓ MKE usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.20 in

MKE (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5637 · DCA → MKE

Odds over time

How late will it get to MKE?