Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3890 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 12 Today

OO 3890 · MSP → FSD

departs 2:35 PM CT · arrives 3:43 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FSD?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ MSP is busy at that time

↑ 2pm departures from MSP are often late

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,567 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FSD (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3890 · MSP → FSD

Odds over time

How late will it get to FSD?