Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4263
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Tomorrow
OO 4263 · SLC → SGU
departs 5:23 PM MT · arrives 6:42 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Mon 10/12
Tue 10/13 14%
Wed 10/14 7%
Thu 10/15 8%
Fri 10/16 6%
Sat 10/17 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at SGU more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±10 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SGU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at SGU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SGU?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at SGU that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
↓
This flight has been late 15% of the time recently
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 23 kt
Ceiling 3,500 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip 0.79 in
SGU (destination)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 2,200 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip 0.29 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.