Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4263
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
OO 4263 · SLC → SGU
departs 5:23 PM MT · arrives 6:44 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 32%
Mon 10/12 22%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 7%
Thu 10/15 8%
Fri 10/16 6%
Sat 10/17 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at SGU more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SGU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at SGU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SGU?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.9 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SGU
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.88 in
SGU (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.