OO 4771 · FWA → ORD

departs 9:11 AM ET · arrives 9:17 AM CT

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ FWA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

FWA (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4771 · FWA → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?