Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4957
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Tomorrow
OO 4957 · DFW → SJT
departs 9:24 AM CT · arrives 10:38 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Mon 10/12
Tue 10/13 10%
Wed 10/14 14%
Thu 10/15 12%
Fri 10/16 16%
Sat 10/17 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJT more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.4d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at SJT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJT?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
9am departures from DFW are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
↓
SJT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SJT (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.