Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4957
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
OO 4957 · DFW → SJT
departs 9:25 AM CT · arrives 10:41 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Mon 10/12 12%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 14%
Thu 10/15 12%
Fri 10/16 16%
Sat 10/17 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJT more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at SJT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJT?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
9am departures from DFW are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
SJT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SJT (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.