Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4982
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Tomorrow
OO 4982 · DFW → MAF
departs 8:49 AM CT · arrives 10:21 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Mon 10/12
Tue 10/13 18%
Wed 10/14 17%
Thu 10/15 16%
Fri 10/16 19%
Sat 10/17 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at MAF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MAF?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 19% of the time recently
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
↓
Arrivals into MAF at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 24 kt
Ceiling 2,700 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
MAF (destination)
Gusts 25 kt
Ceiling 1,300 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.