Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4982
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 4982 · DFW → MAF
departs 8:49 AM CT · arrives 10:21 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Tue 10/13 12%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 16%
Fri 10/16 19%
Sat 10/17 18%
Sun 10/18 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at MAF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MAF?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,400 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MAF that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
MAF is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into MAF at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MAF (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.38 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.