OO 5128 · MGM → IAH

departs 1:20 PM CT · arrives 3:27 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ IAH is prone to delays

↓ MGM usually runs smoothly

↓ Visibility down to 0.2 mi forecast at MGM that day

Weather at each end

MGM (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.2 mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5128 · MGM → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?