Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5128
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
OO 5128 · MGM → IAH
departs 1:20 PM CT · arrives 3:27 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 29%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 15%
Thu 10/15 20%
Fri 10/16 23%
Sat 10/17 19%
Sun 10/18 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±2 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave MGM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 23% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at IAH that day
↑
IAH is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MGM
Weather at each end
MGM (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.47 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.