OO 5892 · DEN → XWA

took off 2:49 PM MT · landed 5:01 PM CT (scheduled 12:20 PM MT → 3:10 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at XWA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to XWA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at XWA that day

↑ 12pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ XWA usually runs smoothly

↓ Gusts to 32 kt forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

XWA (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.83 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5892 · DEN → XWA

Odds over time

How late did it get to XWA?