Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PORTER · FLIGHT PD 2334
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Tomorrow
PD 2334 · EWR → YOW
departs 2:25 PM ET · arrives 4:44 PM EDT
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Mon 10/12
Tue 10/13 13%
Wed 10/14 17%
Thu 10/15 16%
Fri 10/16 25%
Sat 10/17 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at YOW more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±3 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YOW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at YOW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to YOW?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at EWR that day
↑
2pm departures from EWR are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
EWR (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2.33333 mi Precip 0.12 in
YOW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.