Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PORTER · FLIGHT PD 2334
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
PD 2334 · EWR → YOW
departs 2:47 PM ET · arrives 4:35 PM EDT
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Mon 10/12 25%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 17%
Thu 10/15 16%
Fri 10/16 25%
Sat 10/17 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at YOW more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YOW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at YOW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to YOW?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at YOW that day
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
2pm departures from EWR are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
EWR (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
YOW (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.67 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.