PD 2945 · YTZ → BOS

departs 1:25 PM EDT · arrives 3:38 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts −14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BOS that day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at YTZ

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

YTZ (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.44 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PD 2945 · YTZ → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?