PT 5834 · SBY → CLT

took off 6:39 AM ET · landed 7:52 AM ET (scheduled 6:05 AM ET → 7:40 AM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CLT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at SBY that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ PT's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SBY (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 5834 · SBY → CLT

Odds over time

How late did it get to CLT?