PT 6071 · HSV → CLT

departs 5:29 AM CT · arrives 8:00 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at HSV that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ HSV is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from HSV are usually not late

Weather at each end

HSV (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 6071 · HSV → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?