QK 822 · DCA → YUL

departs 9:40 AM ET · arrives 11:29 AM EDT

Your aircraft is CGJFZ (CRJ9), coming in as QK 780 from YYZ: landed 9:13 AM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at YUL more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to YUL?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at DCA that day

↑ 9am departures from DCA are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ YUL usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into YUL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.38 in

YUL (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QK 822 · DCA → YUL

Odds over time

How late will it get to YUL?