Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA JAZZ · FLIGHT QK 850 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 12 Tomorrow

QK 850 · MSP → YUL

departs 1:23 PM CT · arrives 5:00 PM EDT

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 27h before departure

Arrive at YUL more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YUL?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at YUL that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ MSP is busy at that time

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling8,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YUL (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QK 850 · MSP → YUL

Odds over time

How late will it get to YUL?