QK 870 · DCA → YOW

took off 12:55 PM ET · landed 2:08 PM EDT (scheduled 12:58 PM ET → 2:42 PM EDT)

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at YOW more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to YOW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at YOW that day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Arrivals into YOW at that hour are usually not late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.20 in

YOW (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QK 870 · DCA → YOW

Odds over time

How late did it get to YOW?