QX 2021 · BOI → LAS

departs 2:26 PM MT · arrives 3:34 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ 2pm departures from BOI are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOI

Weather at each end

BOI (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2021 · BOI → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?