QX 2141 · BZN → SEA

took off 12:23 PM MT · landed 12:40 PM PT (scheduled 10:12 AM MT → 11:08 AM PT)

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SEA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at BZN that day

↑ QX's recent on-time record

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ BZN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BZN (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip0.03 in

SEA (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2141 · BZN → SEA

Odds over time

How late did it get to SEA?