Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2141
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
QX 2141 · BZN → SEA
departs 10:12 AM MT · arrives 11:09 AM PT
Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 13%
Thu 10/15 17%
Fri 10/16 20%
Sat 10/17 24%
Sun 10/18 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave BZN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at BZN
↑
This route's recent record
↑
SEA is prone to delays
↓
BZN usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
Weather at each end
BZN (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 3,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.