Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA ROUGE · FLIGHT RV 1780 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 12 Tomorrow

RV 1780 · IAH → YUL

departs 10:21 AM CT · arrives 2:50 PM EDT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 28h before departure

Arrive at YUL more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YUL?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from IAH are often late

↑ IAH is busy at that time

↑ This route's recent record

↓ YUL usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into YUL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

YUL (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

RV 1780 · IAH → YUL

Odds over time

How late will it get to YUL?