SY 111 · MSP → LAS

departs 6:43 AM CT · arrives 8:11 AM PT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±3 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↑ LAS is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling4,233 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 111 · MSP → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?