Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 3008 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 12 Tomorrow

SY 3008 · STL → BWI

departs 5:49 PM CT · arrives 9:01 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 27h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Cloud base down to 233 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at BWI that day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ STL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

STL (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling233 ft Visibility1.53333 mi Precip0.35 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 3008 · STL → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?