Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 3043 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 12 Tomorrow

SY 3043 · CVG → MSP

departs 3:03 PM ET · arrives 4:10 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±3 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at CVG that day

↑ 3pm departures from CVG are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CVG (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 3043 · CVG → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?