Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 600 LANDED 8:34 PM CT, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 12 Today

SY 600 · IWA → MSP

took off 2:06 AM MSK · landed 8:34 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Gusts to 26 kt forecast at IWA that day

↑ Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IWA (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

MSP (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 600 · IWA → MSP

Odds over time