SY 918 · RDU → MSP

took off 12:01 PM ET · landed 1:27 PM CT (scheduled 11:30 AM ET → 1:10 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MSP?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

RDU (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling4,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling8,733 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 918 · RDU → MSP

Odds over time

How late did it get to MSP?