Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
TURKISH AIRLINES · FLIGHT TK 6621
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Today
TK 6621 · IST → MIA
departs 2:00 PM +03 · arrives 6:40 PM ET
Your aircraft is TCLJO (B77L).
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
43%
chance · ±0 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
43%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.3d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Leave IST more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
31%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IST
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IST (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MIA (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.