UA 1785 · DCA → IAH

took off 4:57 PM ET · expected to land 6:32 PM CT (scheduled 4:59 PM ET → 7:27 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to IAH?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Other factors

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.20 in

IAH (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1785 · DCA → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?