UA 1956 · IAH → FLL

took off 7:20 PM CT · expected to land 10:24 PM ET (scheduled 6:26 PM CT → 10:04 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

84% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to FLL?

LIVE

On time or early
16%
15–30 min late
53%
30 min–1 hour late
31%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,957 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

FLL (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1956 · IAH → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?