Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1956 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

UA 1956 · IAH → FLL

departs 6:26 PM CT · arrives 10:04 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 27h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±2 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ 6pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ FLL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.12 in

FLL (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1956 · IAH → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?