UA 2737 · ORD → BWI

took off 4:08 PM CT · expected to land 6:34 PM ET (scheduled 2:58 PM CT → 6:03 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

98% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BWI?

LIVE

On time or early
2%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
72%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ BWI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.24 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2737 · ORD → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?