WN 1005 · BWI → GRR

departs 10:57 AM ET · arrives 12:42 PM ET

Your aircraft is N8710M (B38M), coming in as WN 2022 from BOS: landed 10:28 AM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to GRR?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BWI that day

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ 10am departures from BWI are usually not late

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.24 in

GRR (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1005 · BWI → GRR

Odds over time

How late will it get to GRR?