WN 1241 · BWI → CLT

took off 9:05 AM ET · landed 10:10 AM ET (scheduled 8:19 AM ET → 9:49 AM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CLT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BWI that day

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↑ BWI is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.24 in

CLT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1241 · BWI → CLT

Odds over time

How late did it get to CLT?